ariel, what can you tell us about this? Month of the elections?
Well, this year,
the 2022 midterm elections are just about six months away and
the month of May is a key one for midterm cycles.
So we're gonna have to break it all down.
It's sort of a big conclusion at this
point that the Republicans will retake the house,
the democratic majority is slim.
So the GOP only needs to pick up a handful of seats
to make minority leader kevin McCarthy the next speaker of the House.
And the Senate is much less clear here though,
the Senate candidates really have to run and win
an entire state rather than just one house district.
And this year, the pool is quite competitive, even though the races are right small.
Now, according to forecasts from both political and the cook political report,
just five of the 35 Senate seats make up the election
are considered toss ups with neither party favor to win.
You got Arizona Georgia, Nevada, pennsylvania and Wisconsin.
So that's to say the play.
But why is the month of May just so important from the term as well?
It all comes down to the sheer number
of primary elections happening just this month.
Over the next four weeks,
12 states will have primary contests to
decide the nominees for the two major parties
in every race on the ballot and by the time this month is over,
we will know the major candidates in four
key senate races in Georgia and pennsylvania.
Both toss ups in Ohio and north Carolina, both of which lean republican
now in each of those contests this month,
will tell us how progressive the democrats are
and how aligned with trump the republicans are,
and so much more so.
By looking into this key information,
we will learn just how competitive the races might just
be and who has the best chance to win there.